Israel Sweating in the Arena of Conflict - by Fouad Baker

Amid a series of complex crises blending internal and external challenges, Israel finds itself on the brink of an unprecedented situation threatening its political and security stability. From leaks exposing deep rifts between Israeli security agencies and the political leadership, to mounting international pressure to end regional wars and conflicts, Israel seems to be facing the most dangerous existential test in its modern history. Between the war in Gaza and the Iranian nuclear file, and ongoing tensions with Turkey and Saudi Arabia, both internal and external challenges have reached an all-time high. Today, Israel stands at a crossroads that could reshape the entire region.

Internal Crises in Israel: Deep Fissures Threaten State Stability

In one of the most serious crises shaking the relationship between security agencies

and political authority, leaks from the Shin Bet revealed alarming warnings about a potential internal collapse. The crisis goes beyond societal divisions, reaching into the military establishment itself, with leaks indicating that elite military units might refuse to follow orders if internal unrest erupts. This is not merely a political dispute—it threatens to alter the very structure of the Israeli regime. The judicial overhaul plan is emerging as a direct threat to the balance of power within the state.

The leaked documents have sparked a wave of controversy within Shin Bet, with heated debates around "non-traditional options" to correct the internal course. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu responded swiftly and sharply, accusing elements within the Shin Bet of attempting a "silent coup," claiming that the leaks pose a threat to national security. The crisis is rapidly escalating, putting Israel at risk of an unprecedented internal breakdown.

U.S. Pressure to End the War in Gaza: Mounting International Challenges

In April 2025, American pressure on Prime Minister Netanyahu to halt the war in Gaza intensified. With Donald Trump back in the White House, he dispatched his special envoy, Steven Witkoff, to Israel to push for a ceasefire agreement.

In a firm message, Witkoff urged Israel to make decisive moves to end the conflict.

However, Hamas refused any ceasefire agreement before its conditions are met, creating major hurdles for U.S. mediation efforts amid the stubbornness of all parties involved.

Israeli Concerns Over U.S.–Iran Rapprochement: Looming Nuclear Threats

With each new round of negotiations between the U.S. and Iran, Israeli fears of a possible rapprochement between Washington and Tehran grow. Prime Minister Netanyahu views any deal that eases sanctions on Tehran as a direct threat to Israel’s security. These concerns reflect Israel’s ongoing struggle to maintain regional security supremacy. Despite legitimate fears, Netanyahu also leverages these threats

to reinforce his image as Israel's security protector.

Turkish-Israeli Tensions in Syria: On the Edge

In Syria, tensions between Turkey and Israel are rising due to conflicting interests in

the post-Assad era.

While Turkey seeks to expand its influence in the region, Israel sees this as a direct threat to its security. Despite the escalation, both sides are trying to avoid direct confrontation through military dialogue—but the situation remains

fragile.

Fear of a Regional Nuclear Arms Race: Challenges from Saudi Arabia and Iran Israel is increasingly worried that Saudi Arabia might launch its own nuclear program.

In the absence of normalized relations with Riyadh, fears of a nuclear arms race are growing, potentially destabilizing the region further. Israel sees normalisation with Arab states—especially Saudi Arabia—as a strategic move, but also realizes that Riyadh demands significant concessions regarding nuclear issues

in return.

Red Sea Crisis: Houthi Threats and Israeli Maritime Security

Israel is closely monitoring the situation in Yemen, particularly the Bab al-Mandab Strait, a vital artery for global trade. Houthi threats pose a risk to Israeli maritime trade, prompting Israel to bolster its military presence in the Red Sea.

Tensions in Southern Lebanon and Gaza: A Two-Front Conflict

In southern Lebanon, security challenges are escalating due to Hezbollah’s activity—one of the most powerful military forces opposing Israel. This comes after Israel occupied five new villages in southern Lebanon and has so far failed, along with the United States, to disarm Hezbollah.

At the same time, the Palestinian resistance continues in Gaza, and Israel’s efforts to suppress movements in the West Bank persist. Israeli forces are carrying out widespread raids, destroying homes and camps, and displacing more than 60,000 people so far. This raises the risk of a new Palestinian uprising, potentially

complicating Israel’s security on two fronts.

Danger of Internal and External Explosion: Israel at a Crossroads

Israel is currently facing immense pressure on all fronts—from internal crises threatening its stability to external threats encircling it. As tensions rise and no clear solutions emerge, Israel appears on the brink of internal collapse amid political instability and regional unrest. One wrong move could push Israel into an abyss from which escape may be impossible. The most pressing question remains: Can Israel

survive this dangerous turning point?

Fouad Baker- Palestinian Politician, Jurist and Honorable member of the Cyprus Democratic Lawyers Association.